When Einstein published his complete theory of general relativity in 1916, he proposed three tests of general relativity, one of which
was the deflection of light by the sun. Science could already predict the
timing of eclipses, and knew that one would occur in a few years where the darkened sun would allow them to test Einstein's prediction that the sun deflected
light. In 1919, an expedition set out to observe the deflection of light by the
sun during an eclipse, in to the west African island of Principe. The
expedition leader was British astronomer Arthur Eddington who acquired
photograph negatives showing the deflection of light of stars that were near the sun.
The
resulting observation precisely matched Einstein’s predictions. That is, Einstein had made a precise prophecy
about the future down to meters of precision and within seconds of accurate
timing. This is the kind of accuracy in
prophetic ability one never sees in religion.
Religion, speaking for God, seems to have enjoyed a monopoly
of claimant powers; that is did, until science and technology caught up with and now
surpasses its predictive and miracle claiming abilities. Science has gone a
long way to eradicating famine, if not turning one loaf into thousands in terms
of farmland efficiency. Medical science finds cures for plagues, mends the lame
and gives sight to the blind, with numerical healings that far far exceed the
onesy-twosy healing claims of ancient priesthood holders. Claims, I repeat,
because in modern times, faith healing has never been truly verified, while
modern science healing is verified daily in tens of thousands of hospitals and
clinics. These days, the prophets seem silent and science vociferous in
predicting all kinds of future events--from the gender of unborn children to
eclipses and tsunami, and even general trends in climate change. Science is
beginning to look forward in ways only God was once claimed to do.
Carl Sagan once wrote the following: "...if you want to
really be able to predict the future -- not in everything, but in some areas --
there's only one regime of human scholarship...that really delivers the goods,
and that's science. Religions would give their eyeteeth to be able to predict
anything like that well. Think of how much mileage they would make if they ever
could do predictions comparably unambiguous and precise."
We don't really have to imagine, though, do we? When white European conquerors of ancient America were received as gods with their guns and eclipse predictions, they
abused the power by controlling whole civilizations and fetching gold and
slaves from the subordinate worshipping masses. If modern religions had the power
of modern science (while hiding the source of their power), we'd hardly have to
imagine the outcome.
But herein lays one difference between science and religion:
religions cloud the source of their acclaimed powers in obscure passages and
murky definitions of God. Science openly reports, competitively referees and carefully
accredits each advancement to the whole world (if the world would but take the
time to read the publications). Again, Sagan explains that while the scientist
is human, science as a whole attempts to be objective and available to all:
"Science has built-in error-correcting mechanisms -- because science
recognizes that scientists, like everybody else, are fallible...Scientists do
not trust what is intuitively obvious, because intuitively obvious gets you
nowhere."
Another interesting difference between science and religion:
churches have no laboratories. What I mean is that if a scientist has a clever
thought (hypothesis), before he turns it into a belief (theory), he will comb
the journals to see if it was already out there and tested. If not tested, he
will go to the lab and painstakingly experiment until he has validated or--most
often--eliminated the idea. It is in the lab where good ideas and bad ones are
sorted out. Churches have no laboratories. Just belief systems.
(Ok, church do have laVatories of white porcelain thrones, which in the Mormon-brand,
members must clean.)
Furthermore, the scientific methodology requires that any
good finding should be re-found (repeatedly) and verified (openly) before it
can be said to support hypothesis. Scientists pride themselves to be published
in refereed journals, where honors go to those that can disprove findings or
hypotheses with new findings--as Einstein did of Newton. It's a hard career at
times--hard on the ego and personal life--but rewarding because of its
unparalleled consistency and trustworthiness.
As a former Mormon--who happily believed in modern
prophecy--I used to wonder why the prophets are so reluctant to predict as they
did only a hundred-fifty years back. Why have miracles become no more than
rumors and subtle coincidences visible only to the chosen faithful? By
comparison, technology and science deliver health and happiness in brightly
printed packages available to all regardless of faith, creed, race or
nationality. It would seem that the prophets have privately given into science.
I believe it is because they know they haven't a chance to be so successful
when science has been so wonderfully accurate. A smart man doesn't claim to be
guided by the supreme intelligence and give predictions that could so easily be
countered by lab-coated scientists whose probability calculations are greater
than 90% correct.
Okay, yes, it would seem I am giving far too much credit to
science. It can't heal everything nor correctly predict many things--from
tomorrow's weather to next week's stock market. Yes, science is still dealing
poor predictions often enough. But in comparison to latter-day seers and
apostles, it is uncannily and openly predictive.
Happy Halloween, all.